Nathan Reed

Nvidia Wednesday. Warsh Friday. Gold already voted. $4,700

Gold $4,713 futures, China stealth-buying, Bessent sanctions today, Nvidia Wed, PCE + Warsh Fri...  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

The Fed said hike. The Treasury said print. Gold chose.

Gold $4,490 (+3.5%), touched $4,500, FOMC hawkish BUT Treasury doubled buybacks, Walmart+Deere today...  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

Sept hike odds hit 68%. NFP Friday decides everything

MONDAY MARKET UPDATE August starts with a jobs week. NFP on Friday. ISM Manufacturing today. JOLTS tomorrow. September hike odds just climbed to 68% — the dissenters are winning the narrative even though they lost the vote. Gold is at $4,068 and half the poll crowd expects it to stay

Apple beat everything. Fell 6%. Only Microsoft survived earnings season

FRIDAY MARKET UPDATE Apple beat every number and fell 6%. Amazon posted $62.6 billion in net income and guided weak. Microsoft held its 9% gain. The pattern is now clear: beat and hold if your AI is making money, beat and fall if it's costing money. Gold

Warsh held. Three dissenters. Zero guidance. Apple reports tonight

THURSDAY MARKET UPDATE Microsoft broke the pattern. Eight AI names beat and fell. Microsoft was the ninth — and the stock surged 9% after hours. Azure hit $100 billion annually. EPS beat by 12%. Warsh held rates, got three dissenters, and gave zero guidance. Meta's profit fell 14%. Apple

Chinese chip IPO +466%. Micron hammered. The moat is narrowing

TUESDAY MARKET UPDATE The FOMC meeting starts today. Warsh decides tomorrow. Hike probability just jumped to 36% — the highest uncertainty this close to a decision in years. Microsoft and Meta report tomorrow, same day as the rate call. Apple reports Thursday. Gold fell to $4,030 on a surging dollar.

Six weeks oil dragged gold down. Now the machine runs in reverse

MONDAY MARKET UPDATE Iran said it will stop attacking if the US stops striking. The US already paused Friday — broke a 13-night streak without announcing it. Oil crashed 8% overnight. Brent fell from $102 on Thursday to $89 this morning. Gold is up to $4,098. FOMC is Wednesday.

IBM guided down and rose. Tesla beat revenue and fell. The market rewards boring now

THURSDAY MARKET UPDATE Yesterday I told you gold woke up. Today it fell back asleep. The metal gave back 2% overnight and dropped below $4,000 again. Alphabet beat revenue by $3 billion and its free cash flow was negative $5.9 billion. Tesla beat revenue by $2.5 billion

Gold fell for two weeks of war. Today it surged. What changed?

WEDNESDAY MARKET UPDATE Gold just woke up. The metal surged to $4,116 — its highest level in two weeks — as safe-haven demand returned. Silver jumped 5.8%. Brent crossed $92. And tonight: Alphabet and Tesla report after the bell. TSMC reports tomorrow. The entire AI thesis, the war, and

Half the poll said $90 oil. They got it. Then mediators blinked. Every rally is rented until someone signs

TUESDAY MARKET UPDATE Brent hit $90. Ten consecutive nights of US strikes. Then mediators floated a 10-day ceasefire and oil pulled back. Alphabet reports tomorrow. Tesla reports tomorrow. TSMC reports Thursday. Three AI giants in 48 hours — while the Semis are down 20% from their peak and a war

70% of you said buy the dip. TSMC reports Thursday. That's when we find out if conviction was enough

MONDAY MARKET UPDATE Three American service members were killed in Iran's strikes over the weekend. Tehran declared the ceasefire “effectively collapsed”. Iran intercepted four vessels in Hormuz. Oil has now surged 30% from its July lows. And TSMC reports this week — the single most important earnings call of

CPI went negative. PPI fell. Gold still lost. Oil rewrote the script this week

WEDNWSDAY MARKET UPDATE Six straight days of US strikes on Iran. Silver at 8-month lows. Gold back below $4,000. Oil up 13% this week. Trump warned he'll target Iran's infrastructure next week. CPI and PPI both went negative — and it didn't matter.